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Clifton Cann's avatar

It’s astonishing that in 2025—when we’re seeing climate disruption play out across the globe in real time—we’re still getting served reheated denial from Toby Young and The Climate Skeptic. Floods, wildfires, glacier collapse, rising seas, ocean heatwaves, and shifting growing seasons are all accelerating. Yet here we are again, with another post dismissing it all as alarmism in service of a so-called “radical green agenda.”

Let’s take his claims point by point.

“What consensus?”

Toby casts doubt on the often-cited “97% consensus” among climate scientists, calling it a myth based on a debunked study. That’s simply false. The 97% figure comes from multiple independent studies—most notably Cook et al. (2013), which analyzed nearly 12,000 peer-reviewed papers and found overwhelming agreement that human activity is driving climate change. More recent research finds the consensus is even stronger—approaching 99% among publishing climate experts.

Cherry-picking criticisms of one paper doesn’t change the reality: the scientific consensus is robust, global, and growing. No alternative survey has shown anything remotely close to widespread dissent.

📌 Cook et al., 2013

📌 Powell, 2019 – 99% Consensus

“CO₂ is just a trace gas…”

Yes, and so is cyanide. Trace gases can have major effects. Despite comprising only 0.04% of the atmosphere, CO₂ is crucial to Earth’s energy balance. Its heat-trapping capacity doesn’t just vanish at higher concentrations—it follows a logarithmic curve, which is well understood and incorporated into physics, climate modeling, and satellite remote sensing.

The claim that its warming effect is “saturated” is outdated and has been debunked repeatedly. If that were true, Earth’s temperature wouldn’t be climbing in step with emissions—as it clearly is.

📌 NASA on CO₂

“But what about Happer, Curry, and Clauser?”

This is the tired “appeal to contrarian authority.” William Happer is a physicist, not a climate scientist. He’s promoted the idea that more CO₂ is good for plants and once compared climate science to Nazi propaganda. Judith Curry’s scientific work doesn’t deny human-caused warming; she questions the level of certainty and appropriate policy responses. John Clauser, a Nobel laureate in quantum mechanics, has never published peer-reviewed research on climate and openly admits to ignoring the foundational climate literature.

These are not leading voices in climate science—they’re fringe figures given amplified status by outlets with a political axe to grind.

📌 Scientific American on Clauser

📌 RealClimate on Happer

“Climate models are flawed…”

Models don’t drive the science—they reflect our best understanding of physics, chemistry, and feedback systems. They are constantly validated against observations and have successfully predicted decades-long trends, including polar amplification, stratospheric cooling, and increasing ocean heat content. No model is perfect, but the broad patterns are confirmed by real-world data again and again.

The uncertainties are not about whether climate change is happening—they’re about how fast and how bad it will get if we stay on our current path.

“Hundreds of scientists say there is no climate emergency”

This refers to the so-called “World Climate Declaration,” organized by Clintel—a climate denial lobby group, not a scientific body. The list is padded with non-climate scientists, engineers, lobbyists, and even the odd dentist. It’s not peer-reviewed science; it’s a PR stunt.

Bottom Line

Toby Young is using monetized contrarianism to sell subscriptions. That’s the game here. It’s not about engaging with evidence—it’s about positioning himself as a brave truth-teller standing against the mob, even as reality crashes through the door.

If there were no climate emergency, reality wouldn’t be doing such a good job showing us otherwise.

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Jaime Jessop's avatar

Good. We need a lot more straightforward scepticism of anthropogenic climate change, and especially the spin-off pseudoscience of extreme weather attribution - needed because long term global warming of just over one degree Celsius since 1850 was not scary enough. Climate zealots were boasting a while back that 'climate science denial' had been defeated once and for all, so settled was the Settled Science of Man Made Global Warming, and it was therefore just a matter of dealing with the delayers and deniers of climate mitigation. They were wrong. The fundamental 'science' of anthropogenic greenhouse gas driven global warming - and extreme weather attribution - has never looked so shaky and is coming under increasing challenge from real published science and data.

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